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new credit is expected in January to break trillion drop prospective almost certain To defend the economic, credit first. Concerns of economic slowdown, the scale of credit in January can be sustained in the fourth quarter of last year the sturdy style become very important. Commercial banks gearing up momentum, regulators already instructed only "slight increase".

Therefore, the market expected, the credit will be in January this year as in previous years, slightly over one trillion yuan, the annual scale of 8 trillion to run normally. More pull to launch the body is expected to cut the deposit reserve ratio When will this be true. The original market have that habit of policies the central bank renault can clip "holiday" will be staged again, but the central bank has chosen a more flexible market-based means, the time of the first three weeks of January, the central bank through open market to market injected a net 477 billion yuan flow , the funding of the inter-bank repo market tensions eased, prices in all of the period of capital varieties callback.
Rapid increase in credit to ease the pressure on the capital side through the open market, the use of tools reserve ratio does not seem urgent, but the reverse repurchase funds need to focus back to the central bank, liquidity pressure will increase in early February, This has lowered the reserve ratio, the possibility of greatly increased. India in January 24 the deposit reserve ratio by 0.5 percentage points to alleviate the lack of liquidity initiatives, but also to the Chinese market has brought a little guess. January credit is still broken trillion Banks prefer "early delivery, the early benefit" approach, the credit usually will show the "high low" characteristics, generally a quarter scale of lending for the first obd2 of the four quarters, in January, a quarter of the new credit peak. Trillion more than the size of credit such as the 2009-2010 January 2011 first quarter, the banking financial institutions, new RMB loans of 2.255 trillion yuan, with 1.04 trillion yuan in new loans in January. By the line of credit restrictions and strict regulatory control in the first half of 2011, a slight moderation in credit growth, but the second half of the drastic changes in the regulatory agencies to strengthen the banks to small and micro enterprises, "three rural" areas such as credit support, resulting in the fourth quarter of last year The new credit is a significant increase in the average monthly reach nearly 600 billion yuan. And this trend is expected to remain in January, there were reports of three  lexia working days after the New Year holiday four state-owned banks and credit of 50 billion, 10 days before the new credit of up to 110 billion. Centralized  obd2 loan early, will inevitably lead to credit out of control. In order to prevent bank loans in January over the level of play, the central bank has urged all localities to corporate financial institutions do credit plan.